Median Earnings (1yr)
$41,695
82nd percentile (60th in CA)
Median Debt
$9,316
9% below national median
Debt-to-Earnings
0.22
Manageable
Sample Size
134
Adequate data

Analysis

National Career Education's HVAC program turns a modest $9,316 investment into strong earning potential, with graduates nearly doubling their income from $41,695 in year one to $64,593 by year four. That 55% earnings jump is remarkable—while many vocational programs see graduates plateau quickly, this trajectory suggests students are developing skills that command significantly higher pay as they gain experience and certifications.

The first-year earnings already outpace both California's median ($38,137) and the national average ($35,749) for HVAC programs, placing graduates in the 82nd percentile nationally. The debt load of $9,316 represents just 22% of first-year earnings, meaning most graduates could aggressively pay down their loans while establishing themselves in the field. That's a manageable burden for a career with clear upward mobility—by year four, that debt becomes trivial compared to earnings.

For families concerned about career training programs, this one delivers tangible results. Nearly 40% of students receive Pell grants, indicating the school serves working-class families who need programs that lead directly to employment. The combination of below-average debt, above-average starting pay, and exceptional earnings growth suggests graduates are entering California's skilled trades market well-prepared. This is exactly what a certificate program should do: provide affordable, focused training that leads to a career with room to grow.

Where National Career Education Stands

Earnings vs. debt across all heating, air conditioning, ventilation and refrigeration maintenance technology/technician (hac, hacr, hvac, hvacr) certificate's programs nationally

National Career EducationOther heating, air conditioning, ventilation and refrigeration maintenance technology/technician (hac, hacr, hvac, hvacr) programs

Programs in the upper-left quadrant (high earnings, low debt) offer the best value. Programs in the lower-right quadrant warrant careful consideration.

Earnings Distribution

How National Career Education graduates compare to all programs nationally

National Career Education graduates earn $42k, placing them in the 82th percentile of all heating, air conditioning, ventilation and refrigeration maintenance technology/technician (hac, hacr, hvac, hvacr) certificate programs nationally.

Earnings Over Time

How earnings evolve from 1 year to 4 years after graduation

Earnings trajectories vary significantly. Some programs show strong early returns that plateau; others start lower but accelerate. Consider where you want to be at year 4, not just year 1.

Compare to Similar Programs in California

Heating, Air Conditioning, Ventilation and Refrigeration Maintenance Technology/Technician (HAC, HACR, HVAC, HVACR) certificate's programs at peer institutions in California (44 total in state)

SchoolEarnings (1yr)Earnings (4yr)Median DebtDebt/Earnings
National Career Education$41,695$64,593$9,3160.22
DeHart Technical School$43,927—$8,9500.20
Institute for Business and Technology$41,695$64,593$9,3160.22
San Joaquin Valley College-Visalia$40,368$51,812$13,0000.32
San Joaquin Valley College-Bakersfield$40,368$51,812$13,0000.32
San Joaquin Valley College-Fresno$40,368$51,812$13,0000.32
National Median$35,749—$10,2230.29

Other Heating, Air Conditioning, Ventilation and Refrigeration Maintenance Technology/Technician (HAC, HACR, HVAC, HVACR) Programs in California

Compare tuition, earnings, and debt across California schools

SchoolIn-State TuitionEarnings (1yr)Debt
DeHart Technical School
Modesto
—$43,927$8,950
Institute for Business and Technology
San Jose
—$41,695$9,316
San Joaquin Valley College-Visalia
Visalia
—$40,368$13,000
San Joaquin Valley College-Bakersfield
Bakersfield
—$40,368$13,000
San Joaquin Valley College-Fresno
Fresno
—$40,368$13,000

About This Data

Source: U.S. Department of Education College Scorecard (October 2025 release)

Population: Graduates who received federal financial aid (Title IV grants or loans). At National Career Education, approximately 39% of students receive Pell grants. Students who did not receive federal aid are not included in these figures.

Earnings: Median earnings from IRS W-2 data for graduates who are employed and not enrolled in further education, measured 1 year after completion. Earnings are pre-tax and include wages, salaries, and self-employment income.

Debt: Median cumulative federal loan debt at graduation. Does not include private loans or Parent PLUS loans borrowed on behalf of students.

Sample Size: Based on 134 graduates with reported earnings and 114 graduates with debt data. Small samples may not be representative.