Analysis
Caltech's physics program comes with roughly $23,000 in estimated debt—slightly above California's median but manageable—against first-year earnings that peer programs in the state suggest land around $50,000. That 0.46 debt-to-earnings ratio is solid, meaning graduates would theoretically need less than half their first year's salary to cover what they borrowed. For context, physics bachelor's programs nationally produce median earnings of $47,670, so California's market appears slightly stronger.
What's striking here is the comparison to other California physics programs with reported data. Cal Poly Pomona graduates earn $64,000 in their first year, while UCLA and several Cal State campuses report outcomes between $53,000 and $60,000—all exceeding the $50,000 estimate derived from state medians. Given Caltech's 3% admission rate and elite reputation, you'd expect their physics graduates to outperform state averages, possibly significantly. The suppressed data here (due to small sample size, not institutional secrecy) leaves us comparing a top-tier program to a statistical average that includes far less selective schools.
The financial picture looks manageable on paper, but you're essentially betting on Caltech's brand and network to deliver outcomes that exceed what similar California programs report. For a physics degree from one of the world's premier research institutions, that's probably a safe bet—but acknowledge you're making decisions without this program's actual track record visible.
Where California Institute of Technology Stands
Earnings vs. debt across all physics bachelors's programs nationally
Compare to Similar Programs in California
Physics bachelors's programs at peer institutions in California (58 total in state)
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| School | In-State Tuition | Earnings (1yr)* | Earnings (4yr) | Median Debt* | Debt/Earnings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $63,255 | $50,219* | — | $23,120* | — | |
| $7,439 | $64,045* | $51,682 | $23,000* | 0.36 | |
| $13,747 | $60,495* | $73,644 | $21,100* | 0.35 | |
| $7,675 | $57,114* | — | —* | — | |
| $7,739 | $56,018* | $66,529 | $19,069* | 0.34 | |
| $14,965 | $53,597* | $88,722 | $15,982* | 0.30 | |
| National Median | — | $47,670* | — | $23,304* | 0.49 |
Career Paths
Occupations commonly associated with physics graduates
Physicists
Natural Sciences Managers
Clinical Research Coordinators
Water Resource Specialists
Physics Teachers, Postsecondary
Secondary School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education
About This Data
Source: U.S. Department of Education College Scorecard (October 2025 release)
Population: Graduates who received federal financial aid (Title IV grants or loans). At California Institute of Technology, approximately 15% of students receive Pell grants. Students who did not receive federal aid are not included in these figures.
Earnings: Median earnings from IRS W-2 data for graduates who are employed and not enrolled in further education, measured 1 year after completion. Earnings are pre-tax and include wages, salaries, and self-employment income.
Debt: Median cumulative federal loan debt at graduation. Does not include private loans or Parent PLUS loans borrowed on behalf of students.
Estimated Earnings: Actual earnings data is not available for this program (typically due to privacy thresholds when fewer than 30 graduates reported earnings). The estimate shown is based on the median of 11 similar programs in CA. Actual outcomes may vary.