Analysis
The dramatic earnings growth here—from under $10,000 to nearly $23,000 over four years—tells a story of graduates struggling to gain traction in New York's competitive beauty market. While that 139% increase sounds impressive, it's actually starting from an alarmingly low baseline. In the first year, graduates earn barely half the state median for cosmetology programs, ranking in just the 10th percentile among New York schools. By year four, they're catching up but still lag behind programs like Aesthetic Science Institute and Schuyler Steuben Chemung Tioga Allegany BOCES, where graduates start stronger.
The $5,500 debt load is relatively manageable—about half the state median—which provides some cushion during those lean early years. But that first-year income of $9,493 is problematic regardless of debt levels. It suggests graduates are either working part-time, facing underemployment, or accepting positions that don't utilize their training. For a family investing in this program, the question becomes whether your child can weather three to four years of barely-livable wages while building a clientele.
If your child is considering Paul Mitchell-NYC, understand they'll likely need financial support beyond graduation. The economics only start working by year four, and even then, earnings remain below top programs in the state. For students who can live at home or have family backing during the building phase, the lower debt makes this viable. Otherwise, stronger-performing New York cosmetology programs offer better starting positions.
Where Paul Mitchell the School-NYC Stands
Earnings vs. debt across all cosmetology certificate's programs nationally
Earnings Distribution
How Paul Mitchell the School-NYC graduates compare to all programs nationally
Earnings Over Time
How earnings evolve from 1 year to 4 years after graduation
| School | 1 Year | 4 Years | Growth |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Mitchell the School-NYC | $9,493 | $22,672 | +139% |
| Paul Mitchell the School-Schenectady | $17,570 | $27,864 | +59% |
| New York School of Esthetics & Day Spa | $20,531 | $25,426 | +24% |
| Arrojo Cosmetology School | $18,528 | $25,400 | +37% |
| The Salon Professional Academy-Tonawanda | $17,534 | $25,281 | +44% |
Compare to Similar Programs in New York
Cosmetology certificate's programs at peer institutions in New York (46 total in state)
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| School | Earnings (1yr) | Earnings (4yr) | Median Debt | Debt/Earnings |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $9,493 | $22,672 | $5,500 | 0.58 | |
| $22,638 | $25,225 | $6,333 | 0.28 | |
| $22,221 | $12,258 | $9,500 | 0.43 | |
| $22,092 | $22,106 | $9,847 | 0.45 | |
| $21,516 | $24,650 | $6,333 | 0.29 | |
| $20,531 | $25,426 | $6,625 | 0.32 | |
| National Median | $17,113 | — | $9,862 | 0.58 |
Career Paths
Occupations commonly associated with cosmetology graduates
Skincare Specialists
Barbers
Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists
Manicurists and Pedicurists
Personal Service Managers, All Other
Fitness and Wellness Coordinators
Spa Managers
First-Line Supervisors of Personal Service Workers
Makeup Artists, Theatrical and Performance
Shampooers
About This Data
Source: U.S. Department of Education College Scorecard (October 2025 release)
Population: Graduates who received federal financial aid (Title IV grants or loans). At Paul Mitchell the School-NYC, approximately 38% of students receive Pell grants. Students who did not receive federal aid are not included in these figures.
Earnings: Median earnings from IRS W-2 data for graduates who are employed and not enrolled in further education, measured 1 year after completion. Earnings are pre-tax and include wages, salaries, and self-employment income.
Debt: Median cumulative federal loan debt at graduation. Does not include private loans or Parent PLUS loans borrowed on behalf of students.
Sample Size: Based on 38 graduates with reported earnings and 59 graduates with debt data. Small samples may not be representative.