Analysis
A debt load around $9,280 for a certificate program puts graduates in manageable territory—national data from similar ground transportation programs suggests first-year earnings near $41,000, creating a debt-to-earnings ratio of just 0.22. That's the kind of number that allows someone to pay down loans quickly while building a career. However, the four-year earnings figure of $36,926 raises questions about whether early momentum carries forward, or if graduates need additional credentials or experience to advance.
The challenge here is that both earnings and debt figures come from peer programs nationally rather than San Juan College's actual graduate outcomes. Ground transportation encompasses everything from truck driving to logistics coordination, and results vary dramatically by specialty and local labor market. In rural New Mexico, opportunities might differ from national patterns—potentially offering steadier work in resource extraction and distribution, or limiting pathways if graduates need to relocate for better-paying positions.
For families considering this certificate, the estimated numbers suggest reasonable upfront costs but uncertain earnings progression. The practical question is whether this credential opens doors to stable employment in the Four Corners region specifically, or serves as a stepping stone requiring further training. If your student has a specific transportation career in mind—perhaps commercial driving with a clear employer path—the low debt burden makes this a relatively safe bet. Without that clarity, you're investing based on national patterns that may not reflect local reality.
Where San Juan College Stands
Earnings vs. debt across all ground transportation certificate's programs nationally
Earnings Over Time
How earnings evolve from 1 year to 4 years after graduation
| School | 1 Year | 4 Years | Growth |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Juan College | — | $36,926 | — |
| Davidson-Davie Community College | $41,081 | $63,256 | +54% |
| Johnson County Community College | $74,114 | $60,000 | -19% |
| Central Lakes College-Brainerd | $64,164 | $59,690 | -7% |
| Elgin Community College | $51,945 | $56,296 | +8% |
Compare to Similar Programs Nationally
Ground Transportation certificate's programs at top institutions nationally
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| School | In-State Tuition | Earnings (1yr)* | Earnings (4yr) | Median Debt* | Debt/Earnings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1,790 | $41,414* | $36,926 | $9,280* | — | |
| $2,328 | $74,114* | $60,000 | $5,775* | 0.08 | |
| $4,916 | $67,999* | $49,577 | $8,250* | 0.12 | |
| $6,209 | $64,164* | $59,690 | $10,846* | 0.17 | |
| $4,842 | $59,330* | — | $11,000* | 0.19 | |
| $4,320 | $53,495* | $47,311 | $4,750* | 0.09 | |
| National Median | — | $41,414* | — | $7,706* | 0.19 |
Career Paths
Occupations commonly associated with ground transportation graduates
Locomotive Engineers
Rail Yard Engineers, Dinkey Operators, and Hostlers
Railroad Brake, Signal, and Switch Operators and Locomotive Firers
Railroad Conductors and Yardmasters
Career/Technical Education Teachers, Postsecondary
Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators
Pile Driver Operators
Operating Engineers and Other Construction Equipment Operators
Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers
Logging Equipment Operators
Bus Drivers, School
Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity
About This Data
Source: U.S. Department of Education College Scorecard (October 2025 release)
Population: Graduates who received federal financial aid (Title IV grants or loans). At San Juan College, approximately 33% of students receive Pell grants. Students who did not receive federal aid are not included in these figures.
Earnings: Median earnings from IRS W-2 data for graduates who are employed and not enrolled in further education, measured 1 year after completion. Earnings are pre-tax and include wages, salaries, and self-employment income.
Debt: Median cumulative federal loan debt at graduation. Does not include private loans or Parent PLUS loans borrowed on behalf of students.
Estimated Earnings: Actual earnings data is not available for this program (typically due to privacy thresholds when fewer than 30 graduates reported earnings). The estimate shown is based on the national median of 94 similar programs. Actual outcomes may vary.